Ray of Hope 66th Draw

[ivancabrer]

I did a lot of analysis of the draws in this year.

The problem is: the lower the CRS, the higher the number of people entering the pool.

My last analysis for the 66th drawn showed me:

07/06/17: 405
14/06/17: 409
21/06/17: 415

Very simmilar to what I think.

June 7th - 406
June 14th - 409

Both with 3,800+ ITAs

Could be +2 because of the June changes. Some people could jump from 390 and 400 to a higher range.

 

[tjsecondtry]

413 and above have all been flushed today.
Interesting observation: On May 26, there were 3404 candidates with CRS above 410 and the ITAs issued today (31st May) is 3877.
This is the first time ever that the difference between these two numbers is negative i.e. -473.

If you take away the 143 PNP nominees, the difference is even larger. However, this rate for 5 days isn't worse than the normal daily intake over 410. So it's realistic for the 2 point drops to continue on a 2 week basis, after minor adjustments for the June 6 changes.

 

[Northstar88]

like your signature

"Either I will find a way, or I will make one, and Canada is my Way."

Thank you

 

[Northstar88]

Can some analytical mind throw some light on the stats pls

Soon

 

[xibalban]

If you take away the 143 PNP nominees, the difference is even larger. However, this rate for 5 days isn't worse than the normal daily intake over 410. So it's realistic for the 2 point drops to continue on a 2 week basis, after minor adjustments for the June 6 changes.

I don't see how the next CRS cut-off would stay above 410, irrespective of the June 6th changes. It simply isn't possible.

June 14, is a long way to go. So long fellas, stay vibrant and stay positive. I'll get busy consolidating my documents, and will meet you goodfellas again on 14th June refresh party. I'll need two more draws to land in safe haven with my CRS of 408. My PoF won't be ready until July, anyway.

 

[luckyqamar]

Hi, congrats to all that have been invited. Best wishes to those who didny make this this time.

My score is 428 and my immigration consultant operates my EE profile, my profile was created was created 2 days ago and im not sure if I have the ITA unless I call the agent tomorrow.

I have not seen any emails come through from CIC on my email account, should i expect an email? Has anyone else received an email?

Thanks

 

[dimon_pockemon]

I don't see how the next CRS cut-off would stay above 410, irrespective of the June 6th changes. It simply isn't possible.

It is possible. in 2 weeks, 200 * 14 = 2800 ppl will join the pool with CRS above 400.
as a result, only 1000 ITA will be available for ppl who are already in the pool.
1000 / 400 = 2.5 points.
So in my view, CRS will fall by 2.5 points next draw/

 

[KaelInvoker]

My current score is 402, but after June 6 changes, it will be 417. I will be joining the refresh party on June 14 and beer party to you all in Canada.
Well there would be many guys here who would also increase their scores. so Good luck to all.

 

[CooperStation22]

413 and above have all been flushed today.
Interesting observation: On May 26, there were 3404 candidates with CRS above 410 and the ITAs issued today (31st May) is 3877.
This is the first time ever that the difference between these two numbers is negative i.e. -473.

@xibalban Why negative? What's the reason/missing link here?

 

[JinandMango]

How are you guys so sure that the cut-off will reach 400 by the end of July or even August? It seems like the trend will be at 410+ for a while. Sitting at 403

 

[tjsecondtry]

I don't see how the next CRS cut-off would stay above 410, irrespective of the June 6th changes. It simply isn't possible.

June 14, is a long way to go. So long fellas, stay vibrant and stay positive. I'll get busy consolidating my documents, and will meet you goodfellas again on 14th June refresh party. I'll need two more draws to land in safe haven with my CRS of 408. My PoF won't be ready until July, anyway.

It all depends on how many new people join the pool over 410. Between the last 2 stat dates, it was 168 per day over 420.

 

[ms27]

Is draw expected next week ? Before 6th june changes ?

 

[xibalban]

@xibalban Why negative? What's the reason/missing link here?

Between May 26 (the date on which the score distribution is based) and May 31 (the date of actual draw), 472 candidates with CRS above 412 joined. Simple!!
Previously, this figure used to be positive which implies the pool is getting drained off of 410+ profiles, and quickly.

 

[wnsheikh]

Guys should i accept oinp . I am at 412. :"((

 

[Wandering Mind]

How are you guys so sure that the cut-off will reach 400 by the end of July or even August? It seems like the trend will be at 410+ for a while. Sitting at 403

How are YOU so sure that "the trend will be at 410+ for a while"?

Don't lose heart! All of us will land in Canada sooner or later

Best of luck.