The numbers in the quoted news seem realistic. If you look at the cases being finalized per month during November and December, you’d come to a roughly same number. You see, IRCC finalized approx. 350 CEC applications per day during the last two weeks of December. Regarding the folks with AORs in early 2021, unfortunately the remaining 10388 applications are those which, for one reason or the other, IRCC found too complex to process during 2021 while trying to meet the target.
Now comes the question, why the heck they’re not processing just 10388 applications? To keep it simple, it’s because they are working with full capacity to process FSW inventory, alongside Ukraine special program. Therefore, they’ve almost completely stopped CEC processing. That’s how they are going to resume FSW and CEC draws in Spring 2022 when the inventory for CEC and FSW is almost exhausted.
It’s a little more wait. We’ll most probably all be done with this by July-August 2022