RAY of HOPE 53rd Draw (Predictions)

[johnsyk]

Drawing every week could actually be a good idea, if they draw 1500 every week instead of 3000 every alternate week. That would at least keep the forum alive and give us something to discuss every week.

Well I hope that none of us are here for too long discussing all this every week on this Ray of Hope thread. We should be on the " RECEIVED ITA ON XYZ DATE" thread! hahah.

 

[vabs200]

Bang on my friend Vabs200 ;D ;D

How about a +1 for that ;D

 

[vabs200]

Well I hope that none of us are here for too long discussing all this every week on this Ray of Hope thread. We should be on the " RECEIVED ITA ON XYZ DATE" thread! hahah.

I so want to hop on to that Received ITA on.... thread but am sure gonna stick around on the ray of hope threads as well even after receiving the coveted ITA, sharing my thoughts and experience with all future candidates. Cheers!!

 

[akkipandey]

Which draw do you expect an ITA Vabs200. I am at 448 and I believe we both should get an ITA in the 54th draw. What Say?

 

[vabs200]

Which draw do you expect an ITA Vabs200. I am at 448 and I believe we both should get an ITA in the 54th draw. What Say?

I really hope what you say comes true and going by the current trends it should happen in all likelihood. However, when we are talking of scores below 450 we are talking about a completely uncharted territory as nobody with a core CRS of below 450 has ever received an ITA in the history of EE. However, I see no reason why the number of candidates at each point below 450 should be more or less than the number of candidates at each point above that mark. At the end, it all boils down to the number of ITAs. It the number of ITAs remain at the same level as last draw then I am pretty sure 54th draw would be our day to celebrate

 

[akkipandey]

Certainly and I look forward to contributing to the "Received ITA on 7th Feb, 2017" thread very soon along with you.

 

[Pawshi]

Folks,

In the history of express entry, many things have happened in last few months, which never happened ever. Even no one ever predicted the ITAs with the size of 2900+, 3300+ etc.

CRS drop below 450 is going to happen. However, till where would be the key.

 

[vabs200]

Folks,

In the history of express entry, many things have happened in last few months, which never happened ever. Even no one ever predicted the ITAs with the size of 2900+, 3300+ etc.

CRS drop below 450 is going to happen. However, till where would be the key.

Well said

 

[Pawshi]

If you see, there are few threads which are active. It appears to me that not many are in the bracket of 420+ to 450. Otherwise, they would be pretty active on the threads. If you recall, the ray of hope threads were very active when we had good numbers of candidates in 480+, 470+. 460+ etc. But, 53rd thread does not have many respondents.

Similarly, the most active threads are those with ITAs, PCC, work experience etc. Then, there are OINP - Nov 2015, Dec 2015, Jan 2016 nand Feb 2016 threads are active.

Yes, it may be coincidental that many applicants in the bracket of 400+ to 450 does not know about this forum or not interested to comment.

But, I definitely see a good ray of hope now.

 

[Pawshi]

Dude....its your turn for +1

 

[Pawshi]

Astralsource -

Please refer the link for the details on the pool size.

http://www.cicnews.com/2016/11/express-entry-human-capital-skills-experience-more-prominent-under-new-system-118705.html

October 3 snapshot of the pool

As of October 3, there had been 20 rounds of invitations (draws) so far in 2016. The snapshot of the pool on that date revealed that:

There were 60,689 candidates active in the pool.
A total of 20,588 ITAs had been issued to 19,088 individual candidates over the first 20 draws of 2016. (Note: some candidates may obtain more than one ITA. For example, if they receive an ITA but don’t feel ready to apply, they may re-enter the pool and be issued another ITA at a later date.)
From January to September, 2016, a total of 25,406 Express Entry candidates or their accompanying family members landed in Canada as permanent residents.
From this glimpse into the pool, it is apparent that around one in every four candidates who was actively engaged in the Express Entry system over the first nine months of 2016 received an ITA. Indeed, there have been four further draws since October 3, and the number of ITAs issued has nearly doubled from 1,288 (September 21 draw) to 2,427 on November 16.

 

[johnsyk]

Astralsource -

Please refer the link for the details on the pool size.

http://www.cicnews.com/2016/11/express-entry-human-capital-skills-experience-more-prominent-under-new-system-118705.html

October 3 snapshot of the pool

As of October 3, there had been 20 rounds of invitations (draws) so far in 2016. The snapshot of the pool on that date revealed that:

There were 60,689 candidates active in the pool.
A total of 20,588 ITAs had been issued to 19,088 individual candidates over the first 20 draws of 2016. (Note: some candidates may obtain more than one ITA. For example, if they receive an ITA but don’t feel ready to apply, they may re-enter the pool and be issued another ITA at a later date.)
From January to September, 2016, a total of 25,406 Express Entry candidates or their accompanying family members landed in Canada as permanent residents.
From this glimpse into the pool, it is apparent that around one in every four candidates who was actively engaged in the Express Entry system over the first nine months of 2016 received an ITA. Indeed, there have been four further draws since October 3, and the number of ITAs issued has nearly doubled from 1,288 (September 21 draw) to 2,427 on November 16.

So whats the conclusion?

 

[Pawshi]

From my view, there would be less than 45000 active candidates in the pool. How many between 400 to 450.....dont have the data.

 

[vabs200]

Dude....its your turn for +1

I already did

 

[vabs200]

If you see, there are few threads which are active. It appears to me that not many are in the bracket of 420+ to 450. Otherwise, they would be pretty active on the threads. If you recall, the ray of hope threads were very active when we had good numbers of candidates in 480+, 470+. 460+ etc. But, 53rd thread does not have many respondents.

Similarly, the most active threads are those with ITAs, PCC, work experience etc. Then, there are OINP - Nov 2015, Dec 2015, Jan 2016 nand Feb 2016 threads are active.

Yes, it may be coincidental that many applicants in the bracket of 400+ to 450 does not know about this forum or not interested to comment.

But, I definitely see a good ray of hope now.

That makes perfect sense but we should also keep in mind that not all active candidates from the EE pool are in this forum as well. I would say that not more than 10% of active candidates from the pool would be active in this forum as well, so it doesn't give us the exact picture.