Hello guys,
. . . off course its gonna be a guess but what do you guys think that after c6 is implemented, whats gonna be the processing time of application, i am sure it varies by file to file, but a person like me, who has never been out of canada since landed in canada, what will be my application situation?
Thanks in advance.
Yes, of course any forecast as to processing time lines for applications made four or six months from now will be a
guess.
There is bound to be a surge in new applications soon after the C-6 provisions take effect, since the pool of eligible applicants will suddenly increase by a
couple hundred thousand and perhaps more. How this will affect IRCC's capacity to process the incoming applications is largely a guess. Moreover, while IRCC personnel will obviously be trained to process applications under the revised requirements, in practice there will of course be a learning and adaptation curve. So some increase in the processing time line should be anticipated, but how much so is, again, a
guess.
As for persons who have never left Canada, your observation about how it "varies by file to file" is right on point. For some immigrants, no travel abroad makes sense and will not raise any red flag. For others, this could attract some elevated scrutiny. Obvious example would be an American citizen living in the GTA or Vancouver area, Southwestern Ontario or Montreal. IRCC is likely to be rather skeptical that such an individual never went to the States. At the other end of the spectrum, for many if not most who came to Canada as refugees, IRCC is less likely to have questions even though the applicant reports no travel abroad. Obviously, there are many, many variations and variables in between. Overall, for most applicants, reporting no travel abroad is not likely to raise any serious questions in itself, so the effect of this should be minimal.
Should be obvious that no travel abroad at all is not a factor which will help much. There is very little that will make a routine application more compelling.
Bureaucracies like routine. There are a few things which can help avoid triggering non-routine processing. A good buffer over the minimum is among the most obvious. Minimal errors in the application. Clear employment and residential address history. More or less obvious connection to Canada (applicants with family well settled in Canada for example). A travel history consistent with who the immigrant is, the immigrant's overall history, the immigrant's employment, and other contextual factors (big difference, for example, between a university professor reporting two month holidays abroad versus a mill worker reporting such long holidays abroad . . . what makes sense for who the person is should help to keep the application on a routine track).
Processing time line context: current processing times are way, way below long term, historical time lines. Even before the Conservative government went draconian crazy and scrutinizing most applicants as suspects, that is back before 2010 or so, the processing time line for most was at least six to ten months. Hard to see IRCC maintaining the recent pace, which has seen scores of applicants take the oath in less than six months, particularly when there is a surge in applications. So, again, some increase in the time line should be anticipated. No reason to fear, however, that this will stall application processing beyond adding just a couple or few months for most.