ITA data - further discusiions & analysis welcomed

[mushej]

dates score invitations score increase /drop invitations increase /drop
1 31-Jan-15 886 779
2 07-Feb-15 818 779 -68 0
3 21-Feb-15 808 849 -10 70
4 05-Mar-15 735 1,187 -73 338
5 20-Mar-15 481 1,620 -254 433
6 27-Mar-15 453 1,637 -28 17
7 10-Apr-15 469 925 16 -712
8 17-Apr-15 453 715 -16 -210

 

[mushej]

Some predictions
dates score invitations score increase /drop invitations increase /drop
1 31-Jan-15 886 779
2 07-Feb-15 818 779 92.33% 100.00%
3 21-Feb-15 808 849 98.78% 108.99%
4 05-Mar-15 735 1,187 90.97% 139.81%
5 20-Mar-15 481 1,620 65.44% 136.48%
6 27-Mar-15 453 1,637 94.18% 101.05%
7 10-Apr-15 469 925 103.53% 56.51%
8 17-Apr-15 453 715 96.59% 77.30%
9 24-Apr-15 430 800 94.92% 111.89%

 

[sumit.singh.hallan]

Some predictions
dates score invitations score increase /drop invitations increase /drop
1 31-Jan-15 886 779
2 07-Feb-15 818 779 92.33% 100.00%
3 21-Feb-15 808 849 98.78% 108.99%
4 05-Mar-15 735 1,187 90.97% 139.81%
5 20-Mar-15 481 1,620 65.44% 136.48%
6 27-Mar-15 453 1,637 94.18% 101.05%
7 10-Apr-15 469 925 103.53% 56.51%
8 17-Apr-15 453 715 96.59% 77.30%
9 24-Apr-15 430 800 94.92% 111.89%

You % calculations are incorrect.

 

[mushej]

You % calculations are incorrect.

please give yours

 

[Seby25]

please give yours

This is not something that we can calculate or predict.. There have been many threads previously running analysis and estimates for each ITA cutoff.. Initially it was such that the score would gradually decrease from 800-350.. However CIC abruptly plummeted the score from 735 to 481 in the 5th draw..It was never expected..After 5th draw predictions started that score would now keep decreasing on every draw and will go down till 250.. But to everyones surprise the score went up from 453 to 469 in the 7th draw..

CIC makes the draws based on

• Their calculations and government decisions
• Prev backlogs from past years
• The no. of ITAs rejected in the past draws
• New candiates entering the pool each day
• LMIA jobs issued
• PNP dates
• Current Job requirements in the Canadian job market

Unfortunately no one except CIC would have a correct picture of all these and any predictions on this would prove futile..

Facts that we could probably be sure as of now (observing the current pattern) are

• Draw would mostly happen on friday nights (Canadian time)
• There would be 2-3 draws each month..