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I first calculated the rate of influx of applicants with CRS scores higher than 453. You can find the details of the calculations in my previous posts. In the last 6 months the rate has been around 78 applicants per day in the multiple time points I calculated, and accordingly the total ITA...

Currently there is a huge backlog of applicants (>6600) in that score range. CIC has to at least double the rate of ITA issuance to reach there. When they do accelerate it (if ever), simple calculations can easily spot it, and I will post it here. I'm in the same boat.

Since we know the rates of ITA influx (sort of), we can calculate the expected numbers of ITAs for each cut-off score and date of draw. If we have the 12th draw on July 10; Cut-off # of ITAs 755 544 482 716 469 996 453 2006 If we have the 12th draw on July 17; Cut-off # of ITAs...

I wasn’t too clear about the definition of those rates. Perhaps I should have called it ITAs/day instead of applicants/day. You’re right in that applicants can become qualified for ITA in different ways, but I’m calculating all those cases together. The rates I calculated are the rates at which...

Continued from the previous post. Overall, we have a rate of about 78 applicants/day (66 + 12) for the applicants with the scores higher than 453 who applied between the 6th and 8th draws. We can do similar calculations for more recent draws, and it's roughly 71 applicants/day for the people...

I am not here to discourage anyone, but I think we may have reached equilibrium between the numbers of incoming applicants and ITA issuance. The cut-off score will likely remain above 450 for the rest of the year. Here is the reasoning: The EE system appears to be dynamic: people submit or...