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They are posting the tool tmrw to see if people got selected. They only do this once the round is over. They never said they will send for full 2 weeks. They said: "over the course of approximately 2 weeks" -> which historically has been under 2 weeks. Believe me I am just as frustrated. But...

I think all done for this year. Its 7 days they send out for based on past years. Radio silence this morning as its the 8th.

Is that it for 2024? I am depressed. Been trying since 2016. :(

You lucky ducky! Twice. And here I am waiting for once :( At any rate - I dont think it will work. You dont qualify. Period.

Even if he has not with CRA - the forms ask if the sponsor is married. It will come out and he will get rejected.

seems like it :D

Ha same! Such random guesswork. Also the agony of waiting a week+ to see if this gamble played out of not. 7 years and counting in the program. Really questioning whether I should have settled in Canada or gone to the US. smh

Congrats what was the first two characters of your application code?

If its not too personal - what are the first two characters? Ty!

seems like they are going in some alpha-numeric order - and at least 1 person here got an invite? didnt see any other ones roll through so not sure

Kinda crazy how the uptake rate is is high 60's now and likely lower this year given 35K ITAs but 20K to be selected. Shows how flawed the process was from the get go. No good screening of folks who actually can qualify - duplication of entries - fradulent entries. Nevermind no prioritization -...

Usually I saw them start by 10/11 AM EST and wrap up by 1 PM PST. But who knows this time!

Roughly 1 in 3 odds. Lots of people will get selected.

Radio silence. Nothing so far.

Your primary residential address must be in Canada when you submit your application and until we make a decision on your application. What exactly is meant by that? What counts as a principal residential address in IRCC's book? Can you not leave Canada at all until a decision is made? That...

Ah I think I found it! I think it's ~108K based on this: https://www.canada.ca/content/dam/ircc/documents/pdf/english/corporate/publications-manuals/pgp-intake-report-2020-to-2022-en.pdf 35.7K to be sent out starting May 21. So roughly 33% or 1 in 3 odds.

Now that we have clarity on how many folks will get invites - the Q is - how many are still remaining in the original pool? Iirc there we some 200K+ candidates who applied in 2020 but I am struggling to find the exact reference. Want to game out what the odds of people from the 2020 pool are...

Yah they are. But still based on the numbers discussed here - it seems the odds are still kinda poor :( - maybe 1 in 5 or 1 in 4 this year. Was hoping it'd be more like 1 in 2 this year based on my earlier math. Oh well.

oh dear been waiting since 2015 :(

I suppose also we aren't sure that they will use the 2020 pool if at all this year? Odds are they will. But no clear indication just yet. The article btw is from Nov 2023 per a guideline I think the Canadian govt put out. Have there been amends to it since?