I don't think there will be any updates this month, you will have to wait and see next month. Also, since IRCC plans to cut staff, I expect the processing speed will be slower.
I think your initial judgment is not accurate because it does not conform to the order in which IRCC processes applications. Some applicants in May have already received results, but those are probably just some individual cases.
Does anyone know which month IRCC is currently processing applicants? It seems that some May applicants are progressing very quickly. But there are still no updates for applicants in February, March, and April.