Parents and Grandparents Sponsorship 2021
- Thread starter Denish918
- Start date
For me last year was interesting. Prior to 2020, for PGP, income for previous 3 years (if you apply on year x then income for years x-1, x-2, x-3) were counted. In 2020, IRCC for the first time, allowed potential sponsors to count the income that they are expecting to earn in future and have not earned yet: interest was submitted on October 2020 with a condition that one can earn enough that is needed LICO for the year 2020. This (not sure how pragmatic it is) allowed some of us to work and/or earn more on Oct, Nov and Dec to hit the target LICP, again I am not sure if this assumption is practical.
Now from this year, they have restored the old trend (I assume). Such that if you get a chance to apply/show interest on 2021 (x), you need to earn enough on 2020 (x-1), 2019 (x-2) and 2018 (x-3). If we were to assume that IRCC have restored the old trend, basically only those people who were eligible for PGP2020 would be eligible now for PGP2021. May be this time those who missed to submit their interest, despite the fact they were eligible and were not able to manage to submit the interest even though system was open for more than 2 weeks (if I am not mistaken), would have been included.
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ufarooqi
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Yeah someone counted the numbers in the last draw.
PGP 2020 Summary
Total Applications: 203,213
Total Invitations: 13,400 (Yes they invited around 34% more than quota just to compensate for unclaimed spots)
Probability of being selected: 6.59 %
Based on PGP 2020 stats and considering the fact that no new applicants were inducted in system, everyone would have approximately 21.17% ( (30,000 + 0.34 + 30,000) / (203,213 - 13,400) ) chance of being selected. That's lot better than previous 6.59%.
good luck everyone, I know so many of us have been trying for years without being picked. I think this is our best shot.
Yes, looking at federal goverenment's plan on immigration cap (PGP will be reduced to 23500), this is the best shot to all of us compared to the previous years and years to come.
https://www.canada.ca/en/immigration-refugees-citizenship/news/notices/supplementary-immigration-levels-2021-2023.html
Is there any way to check by confirmation number if got invitation in January invitation? Just in case if we miss or delete email in mailbox and missed the opportunity.
nothing on the Twitter or website yet. They are busy celebrating the election win so looks like they forgot.
That's some nice calculation.
I won't be surprised if in the future they start some form of FIFO again. Technically what is happening this year is Draw + FIFO.
DK84
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