You don’t have to be this cold about it... lol
From A to Z, everything is pure speculation here. Nothing from the govt. In the recent message that the immigration minister has said (directing the H1B dudes), Canada will welcome people and they will completely rely on the targeted immigration even after the Covid situation eases.
Based on that, I can say that they are not gonna reduce the numbers until 2022 as projected.
I just said my theory as others did.
As many are adamant that the cut-score will stick to the 470 mark forever (even the immigration minister isn't this confident), I just shared my view on that.
Everyone has their logic but the catch here is that when fewer people can write IELTS (not all will clinch 8777) and ECA organizations are insanely bombarded with files that came by March and early April, not sure how people came up with this logic. All of their offices are closed and transcripts that are being sent are piling up in the office reception.
The same group was saying that CEC candidates were topping the CRS pool but you see, from March until now, the score has gradually dropped to the 430s.
CECs still had chance to write IELTS (in Vancouver, Toronto, Edmonton, Calgary, Winnipeg and other places in Canada) but no one from outside had the chance the write the exam a month ago. They had better chance to submit their overseas degree for ECA and most of them did even have to do that, as they all studied there. But still, the score plunged gradually.
So these groups of people who often demotivate others with lesser scores can come up with a clear logic as to how on earth will a dude enter the pool provided almost nothing is working (still now) as it was in the pre-COVID timeline. Not to mention that lot of dudes are stranded as well with no means of commute or access.
So wanna end this argument and talk to those people again when the 'all program draws' will commence.
My logic - Score will drop as it did in case of CEC.
Very very few applicants writing IELTS (again not all are gonna clinch 8777 and not all are general) and very very few universities in India sending electronic transcripts to ECA bodies (ECA timelines have been increased to an even lengthy timeframe) is directly proportional to lesser candidates entering the pool.