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Ray of Hope - 135th Draw

remedy3434

Member
Jan 8, 2020
14
6
canpr application guess for the next draw everytime. it says next draws date is 22 jan and the score will be 469-474. i think 474 is too high. my prediction is 470 for 22 jan.
 

jrossi

Hero Member
Jan 13, 2020
506
699
I'm currently at 469.

Single
30yr
5yr Bachelor + 2 yr post-graduate program (waiting for my ECA, predicted for January 24th)
IELTS CLB10 in all 4 skills
+3 yrs of experience in NOC 2132

I don't believe we'll see a substantial drop on the next draw. We'll probably stay between 471 and 474. My hopes are for Draw #136.
Both in 2017 and 2019, January had 3 draws! One on the 1st week of the year, another one on the 3rd week and then a final one in the 4th week of January. If that trend repeats, then we'll see a new Draw just 1 week after the one predicted for January 22nd. So, probably a draw on January 29th.

I'm super anxious, given my ECA will be released (I hope) on January 24th. If everything goes as planned, I believe there's a huge chance we'll get to 468 or 469 on that January 29th draw. If that doesn't happen, I honestly won't carry high hopes for a lower score anytime soon. Then, being invited by a PNP program will be my only feasible (and realistic) option. Honestly, I do think scores will hit 480 in the coming 3 or 4 months.

There was just a massive amount of international students that came to Canada in the last 2-3 years, and that massive increase in the score that started in October is all due to the fact that these people are being rewarded now with extra points for their Canadian education and professional experience. It's really hard to beat that advantage that they have now.
 

bambisp

Star Member
Oct 23, 2019
165
68
Please help!! My sibling (sis) just submitted her PR application today. Currently at 461 and hoping +15 to 476 will be good for an ITA at the end of April/beginning of May. Please advise. Had started French but there's barely hope for that.
Also, i plan on having her land as soon as she has a copr so she can acquire proof of address. how soon after landing can i proceed?
 
Last edited:

Dipanshu26

Star Member
May 1, 2019
60
5
Add me plz@ 466
New
Updated Internal CRS Tracker:

600+ (Total:2) -> Daughty | ScarlettN
475+ (Total:1) -> harismranjot(478)
470+ (Total: 4) -> ravneet09 (470)| abbieh (471) | zee90999 (470) | haris_rasheed (474)
465+ (Total :9) -> satnamsingh2k3(465) | Vazi(465) | Amrit1234(468) | Lazybug( 467) 1\ Rangana (468) | KK_the_great (466) | Dr seun (467) | prateek2108 (465) | caddie (466)
451-465 (Total: 8) -> chemistesa(459)| aj534160 (460)| Gurjit13 (464) | canadavisaLanka2019 (463) | bhupifromdelhi (463) | Harsh (462) | Sidh_joy (456) | ozzyess (462)
 

Anish Nanda

Member
Nov 14, 2019
12
1
New
Updated Internal CRS Tracker:

600+ (Total:2) -> Daughty | ScarlettN
475+ (Total:1) -> harismranjot(478)
470+ (Total: 4) -> ravneet09 (470)| abbieh (471) | zee90999 (470) | haris_rasheed (474)
465+ (Total :9) -> satnamsingh2k3(465) | Vazi(465) | Amrit1234(468) | Lazybug( 467) 1\ Rangana (468) | KK_the_great (466) | Dr seun (467) | prateek2108 (465) | caddie (466)
451-465 (Total: 8) -> chemistesa(459)| aj534160 (460)| Gurjit13 (464) | canadavisaLanka2019 (463) | bhupifromdelhi (463) | Harsh (462) | Sidh_joy (456) | ozzyess (462)
Please add me at 468
 

ozzyess

Star Member
Oct 21, 2019
167
20
Though I am at 462 now, on 23rd January it will drop to 456...
For the first time in my life I wont celebrate my birthday
 

RojoDaniels

Newbie
Aug 19, 2019
2
0
Can anyone give their thoughts on how the score will range for the next 4 draws. Earlier this forum used to give good predictions, but now seems to be inactive
 

Ramsha Bukhari

Star Member
Sep 23, 2019
174
66
Can anyone give their thoughts on how the score will range for the next 4 draws. Earlier this forum used to give good predictions, but now seems to be inactive
So, between the last two draws, 5910 new people joined the pool having score above 451.Out of these, 567 were 600 +, hence, 5910-567=5343 were between 451-600.
Out of 3400 ITA's issued, (3400-567)=2833 were the people above 473.
2833/19days = 149 people per day joined the pool.
If we assume normal distribution between the scores 473-(481-600) , we had around 17 people added per score per day.
If the same trend continues, and lets suppose the number of pnp's increases to 900(highly unlikely).
3400-900= 2500
17people*14days = 238 people per score
also, because of the tie-breaker rule, we still have around 187 people on 473
so the next draw on Jan 22, cut-off will be 471-472
-900 (601-1200)
-238 (of 481-600 newly added score)
-238 (of 480 newly added score)
-238 (of 479 newly added score)
-238 (of 478 newly added score)
-238 (of 477 newly added score)
-238 (of 476 newly added score)
-238 (of 475 newly added score)
-238 (of 474 newly added score)
-238+187 (of 473 newly added score)
-238 (of 472 newly added score)
-238 (of 471 newly added score)
-238 (of 470 newly added score)

In case of lesser pnp's, which is quite expected, can be as lower as 470.

Please feel free to correct me.

To be honest, it is going to be the same if the draw is regular for 2 weeks, and then will only rise after mid feb

If a back to back draw occurs, that we all are praying for it might go down to 468-469, but it is going to come back to the range of 472-473.

The main reason for this is the influx has now increased the outflux, that means more people above 471 are now joining the pool than withdrawn in each draw so it is going to be constant after feb.