Dear
@leblord ,
@Vazi and
@Rkd@321 ,
Sorry for the late reply. Been really busy with life
If there is a draw tomorrow, then the cut off score would be approximately
465-467. Please see my calculation below:
After 30th October draw with 3,900 ITA issued and the cut off 475, the score distribution would have been approximately:
601-1,200 = 0(3,900 -1,520)
451-600 =12,009(14,389-2,380)
441-450= 9,120
Note: As cut off was 475, it means that the 12,009 profiles left on 451-600 range are those who have score 451-475 only.
475 score = 28
471-474= 344people/score
465-470=189people/score
451-464= 675 (486+189)people/score
CRS score distribution of candidates in the Express Entry pool as of November 8, 2019
CRS score:
601-1,200 =757
451-600 =14,180
441-450 =9,060
It means in 9 days from Oct 30th to Nov 8th, there where:
601-1,200 = 84 profile/day (757/9days)
451-600 = 241prof/day (14,180-12,009= 2,171/9days)
441-450 = 9,060-9,120= -60. For this eange we gonna use previous number which is 15profiles per day.
So, by 13th November, the CRS distribution in the pool will be approximately:
601-1,200=1,177(757+420(84x5days))
451-600=15,385(14,180+1,205(241x5d)
441-450= 9,135(9,060+75(15x5days))
Suppose that from the newly added 3,376profile from 30th Oct to 13th Nov, all will be distributed equally to (451-481 to 600). So, it will make 3,376/31=109profile/score
After 13th Nov draw with 3,600 ITA issued and the cut off 472, the score distribution will be approximately:
601-1,200 = 0(3,600 -1,177)
451-600 =12,962(15,385-2,423)
441-450= 9,135
Note: As cut off was 472, it means that the 12,962 profiles left on 451-600 range are those who have score 451-4672 only.
472 score = 273
465-471=298(189+109)people/score
451-464= 784(675+109)people/score
So, by 20th November, the CRS distribution in the pool will be approximately:
601-1,200=588(84x7days)
451-600=14,649(12,962+1,687(241x7d)
441-450= 9,240(9,135+105(15x7days))
Suppose that from the newly added 1,687 profile from 13th Nov to 27th Nov, all will be distributed equally to (451-481 to 600). So, it will make 1,687/31=55profile/score
With 3,600 ITAs the cut off will be approximately 465-467
3,600 minus:
-588(601-1200)
-55 (of 481-600 newly added
score)
-55 (of 480 newly added
score)
-55 (of 479 newly added
score)
-55 (of 478 newly added
score)
-55 (of 477 newly added
score)
-55 (of 476 newly added
score)
-55 (of 475 newly added
score)
-55 (of 474 newly added
score)
-55 (of 473 newly added score)
-273(of 472 left after 13th Nov draw)
-55 (of 472 newly added score)
-298(of 471 left after 13th Nov draw)
-55 (of 471 newly added score)
-298(of 470 left after 13th Nov draw)
-55 (of 470 newly added score)
-298 of (469 left after 13th Nov draw)
-55 (of 469 newly added score)
-298 of (468 left after 13th Nov draw)
-55 (of 468 newly added score)
-298 of (467 left after 13th Nov draw)
-55 (of 467 newly added score)
-298 of (466 left after 13th Nov draw)
-55 (of 466 newly added score)
-71 (298 of 465 left after 13th Nov draw).