5000 new apps into the 450+ is highly unlikely, we roughly had 2000 left last round and we had 5600 this round. with an increase of 3600 considering people are scared due to last draw and trying to enter the pool sooner. Remember the 470 draw, the average increase by week at that time is 1000, but now 1800. Hence the average is never accurate. In the past we had 3350 draws per 2 weeks and we are sitting at 450-452, so it is fare to say every two weeks there is rougly 3k new apps with 451+. Next time will be still very similar to this time, a total of 5600 people 451+, around 2300 people with 450+ will be left behind, but the people with 465+ will be fewer as high points are hard to get! I assume next draw will be around 460-462, and I will be stoked to see 464 or 463. In July things will be much better, but still no hope for guys below 455. According to last year's schedule, they will likely do another special draw in late September,
I am at 456 by the way.