Ray of Hope - 118th Draw

[Shaanoh]

The candidates with 450 are cursed !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

And 449 are screwed

 

[jkaur95]

At 450 since Jan 30.. don’t know when this wait will end

 

[indpnv]

Well it seems as if cic is on my tail, in the pool since feb, had a score of 447, went for
The eca for Masters, the score was improved to 479. I woke up today with a feeling of finally getting an ita but no cic screwed us all.

With that score you should be getting it in the next draw anyway.

 

[MV18]

Don't know what is happening and more importantly why and till when .

Started my journey from 369 and then moved to 447 and then again back to 442 ,

 

[shine04]

Hope's shattered..CIC seems to be in a mood of giving only nightmares to us. Anyways if there are 3900 invitations issued I the next week what would be the crs prediction?

 

[Ajib]

U dont have a problem with your score

Well it seems as if cic is on my tail, in the pool since feb, had a score of 447, went for
The eca for Masters, the score was improved to 479. I woke up today with a feeling of finally getting an ita but no cic screwed us all.

 

[nehadeep]

They should conduct FSW as well. Why only FST and sky rocket CRS? Totally shattered!

 

[IeltsDream2019]

@13nitinsharma please add me at 445. Thanks!

 

[indpnv]

@13nitinsharma Add me at 473

 

[skg1988]

And 449 are screwed

The 3-week gap would result in roughly 1575 (225*7) additional candidates and this would take 6-7 drwas with 3350, 4-5 draws with 3500, 2-3 draws with 3750 and 2 draws with 3900, to be cleared.
GOD, please help us!

 

[indpnv]

They should conduct FSW as well. Why only FST and sky rocket CRS? Totally shattered!

Well, to be fair, if it's just FSW all the time, folks on FST would never get a chance due to a lower CRS score.

 

[13nitinsharma]

Alright guys, we all know that we're quiet shocked or not happy with today's Federal Skilled Trade draw but, at the end we've to digest this "odd draw" this time and move on with high hopes and chins up again!

Now, coming back to the prediction for the next week's draw with the current numbers. There are 1,985 applicants (317+1668) with 451 & above score who'll get the invite for sure. Now, in another one week, there would be approx 200-220 applications which will be added to this range. That means, almost 2,200 invites will be eaten by this range in next week draw and we'll be left with 1,150 invites which will be distributed to applicants with 450 score. Moreover, now I can see they'll adding more invites to the current trend, that means, ITA's will be increased from 3,350 to 3,500/3900 now onwards. So, my prediction for next week is:

Draw Date: May 22
CRS - 450/451
ITA's - 3,350/3,500
Tie Breaker Rule - Not sure.

 

[nehadeep]

They should conduct draws for both FSW and FST!

Well, to be fair, if it's just FSW all the time, folks on FST would never get a chance due to a lower CRS score.

 

[hakweye]

Alright guys, we all know that we're quiet shocked or not happy with today's Federal Skilled Trade draw but, at the end we've to digest this "odd draw" this time and move on with high hopes and chins up again!

Now, coming back to the prediction for the next week's draw with the current numbers. There are 1,985 applicants (317+1668) with 451 & above score who'll get the invite for sure. Now, in another one week, there would be approx 200-220 applications which will be added to this range. That means, almost 2,200 invites will be eaten by this range in next week draw and we'll be left with 1,150 invites which will be distributed to applicants with 450 score. Moreover, now I can see they'll adding more invites to the current trend, that means, ITA's will be increased from 3,350 to 3,500/3900 now onwards. So, my prediction for next week is:

Draw Date: May 22
CRS - 450
ITA's - 3,350/3,500
Tie Breaker Rule - Not sure.

Good analysis but there is good chance draw might happen on 5/29 only and not on 5/22

 

[skg1988]

Alright guys, we all know that we're quiet shocked or not happy with today's Federal Skilled Trade draw but, at the end we've to digest this "odd draw" this time and move on with high hopes and chins up again!

Now, coming back to the prediction for the next week's draw with the current numbers. There are 1,985 applicants (317+1668) with 451 & above score who'll get the invite for sure. Now, in another one week, there would be approx 200-220 applications which will be added to this range. That means, almost 2,200 invites will be eaten by this range in next week draw and we'll be left with 1,150 invites which will be distributed to applicants with 450 score. Moreover, now I can see they'll adding more invites to the current trend, that means, ITA's will be increased from 3,350 to 3,500/3900 now onwards. So, my prediction for next week is:

Draw Date: May 22
CRS - 450/451
ITA's - 3,350/3,500
Tie Breaker Rule - Not sure.

Something is wrong here, buddy. The backlog would be of around 1575 candidates with 225/day intake.
It's definitely going to be more than 450. We may see a draw even tomorrow or Monday, being too much optimistic.