Ray of Hope - 114th Draw

[Jakekal]

I’m currently a dual citizenship holder and hold passports from both countries. Does this, in any way, affect my PR application process or status? I’ve included both in my profile with all details.

 

[JNS1214]

30 minutes lol.

Although I booked for the appointment a week earlier. I went in and came out in 30 minutes with 2 copies. It actually went very smooth. One of the officer did not know about EE so I had to explain it to her for 10 minutes what the process was all about lol.

If you bring all your documents and the address is verified they just send you to next counters quickly.

Thanks for the information. for medical here in mumbai they asked for the invitation letter.

 

[JNS1214]

Thanks... My score is 450 and I am expecting my ITA in the coming draws.....

Yes, I am in India and I am keeping my fingers crossed to get my PCC reports soon....

I have one more query.. I will be grateful if you can answer that.. Can we show PF amount in the Proof of funds????

Thanks

you are from which city. Have you applied for PCC ? where at PSK or Police Station .

 

[Salz_yahoo]

you are from which city. Have you applied for PCC ? where at PSK or Police Station .

PCC has to be applied in the PSK

 

[JNS1214]

PCC has to be applied in the PSK

Thanks.

 

[Ruth31]

Guys any predictions for the next draw... my bro score is 451, am just praying he get through with the draw on Wednesday.

 

[veritas1994]

I would expect 451 to go through. I have asked the same question here and what I have heard is a prediction of 449-450 with 3350 ITAs. That number can drop 1-2 points with 3900 ITAs. Of course, all of this assumes the rate of people with 450+ scores coming into the pool remains constant or drops. If it spikes for some reason, anything can happen.

Overall, I would expect 450 to go through this draw. But we will find out in 2 days. Lets just hope there is a draw because if not a lot of us might be a bit fucked.

 

[Island_vibes]

Guys I got 6 months left on ielts certificate, standing at 447, any chance of securing an ita im the near future ??

I think you will be through before end of April ! Good luck dear!

 

[SeniorStakes]

I would expect 451 to go through. I have asked the same question here and what I have heard is a prediction of 449-450 with 3350 ITAs. That number can drop 1-2 points with 3900 ITAs. Of course, all of this assumes the rate of people with 450+ scores coming into the pool remains constant or drops. If it spikes for some reason, anything can happen.

Overall, I would expect 450 to go through this draw. But we will find out in 2 days. Lets just hope there is a draw because if not a lot of us might be a bit fucked.

There is a massive hue & cry on the WES threads where people have stated that WES is taking longer than usual and shouting that they have a huge pile of applications to evaluate.

This clearly means the inflow of applications is either going to increase or has already increased. I won't be surprised if the cut-off stays at 452 or increases by 1 or 2.

It may also be the case that the increase of WES applications is only from India which are most difficult for them to evaluate and this is why they are concerned. Indian applications made up only 15 percent of the pool in 2017 so this may not have much impact.

 

[matteis]

There is a massive hue & cry on the WES threads where people have stated that WES is taking longer than usual and shouting that they have a huge pile of applications to evaluate.

This clearly means the inflow of applications is either going to increase or has already increased. I won't be surprised if the cut-off stays at 452 or increases by 1 or 2.

It may also be the case that the increase of WES applications is only from India which are most difficult for them to evaluate and this is why they are concerned. Indian applications made up only 15 percent of the pool in 2017 so this may not have much impact.

452 would not be a surprise indeed, but I hope you are wrong, my friend

 

[SeniorStakes]

452 would not be a surprise indeed, but I hope you are wrong, my friend

I recall your birthday is in May too. Let's stay positive

 

[SeniorStakes]

1. Backlog freed up in the last draw: 390 (obtained from stats on 28 Feb versus 14 Mar)
2. Number of applications 441 - 500 on 14 Mar: 2823
3. Let's assume number of folks at 451 and 452 to be 300 each
4. Pending backlog : 300 + 300*0.75 (as partial 452 was given ITAs) = 525
5. As we are taking cues from 28 Feb to 14 Mar, and given that IELTS result dates were 27 Feb and 15 Mar, no IELTS result aspect is getting offset.
6. Backlog getting cleared from 14 Mar to 3 April: 390 + 390*6/14 = 557
7. General increase in 450+ application flow : 100

Therefore, as -557 + 525 + 100 = ~50, we can conclude that most of 451+ backlog get through in the coming draw and the CRS cut-off should be 451 itself.

PS: The above analysis is done objectively without considering my own CRS score

 

[T80]

Could there be a draw today?

In the the last three years, there has been one 12 day gap between draws in either March or April.

If so, I hope the cut off remains under 450.

Good luck to all

 

[Island_vibes]

Could there be a draw today?

In the the last three years, there has been one 12 day gap between draws in either March or April.

If so, I hope the cut off remains under 450.

Good luck to all

I hope so! Desperately hoping for one and the score to come under 450

 

[veritas1994]

There is a massive hue & cry on the WES threads where people have stated that WES is taking longer than usual and shouting that they have a huge pile of applications to evaluate.

This clearly means the inflow of applications is either going to increase or has already increased. I won't be surprised if the cut-off stays at 452 or increases by 1 or 2.

It may also be the case that the increase of WES applications is only from India which are most difficult for them to evaluate and this is why they are concerned. Indian applications made up only 15 percent of the pool in 2017 so this may not have much impact.

Indian applications made up only 15% of the pool?? :O How is this possible, three-fourths of the people here are Indians lol That statistic seems way too low.