Ray of Hope - 113th Draw

[SithLord]

@Shishir Chandra Kumar, @abhishek_89- I am at 447, what are my chances in the next draw?

You could get in April draws

 

[SithLord]

WES has ruined my chances too.I am at 444...I missed earlier because WES took 3 months..I will finally get WES evaluation on 18th March.

WES were on a long holiday Sadly that ruined chances of many people Don't lose hope. 444 is still a good score

 

[ghvijay]

WES were on a long holiday Sadly that ruined chances of many people Don't lose hope. 444 is still a good score

Thanks ..But I'm losing hope coz my birthday is on 27th April..For first time in my life I'm afraid of my birthday

 

[ghvijay]

Last year they had draws of 3900 candidates 8 times and 3750 candidates 6 times. In 2019 they have taken 3900 candidates twice till today.There are high chances they will increase intake in April..

 

[SithLord]

Thanks ..But I'm losing hope coz my birthday is on 27th April..For first time in my life I'm afraid of my birthday

I think you will make it before then. Hopefully, there are no 3 week gaps

Stay positive

 

[LKRYA]

Hey Guys,
Tried some very simple maths based on the data of Feb 2019.
Feb 14 candidates with crs score more than 450 = 3365
Feb 14 candidates with crs score between 441-450 = 1276

Feb 28 candidates with score more than 450 = 2580
Feb 28 candidates with score between 441-450 = 2050

ITAs issued 3350 of crs score more than 450 on 20th feb

Now, the number of candidates entered, new as well as with improved crs score, in between 441-450 = 2050 in four weeks or 513/week or 1025/2weeks.
The number of candidates entered, new as well as with improved crs score, more than 450 = 3350+2580= 5930 in four weeks or 1483/week or 2965/2weeks.

As the draw on 20 feb was after 3 weeks, there would be 4448 candidates with the crs score of more than 450 on that date. They issued 3350 ITAs on that date means around 1100 candidates were remaining in the pool with the crs score of more than 450. Therefore, it should take 2 draws to accommodate all the candidates with crs score more than 450 with 3350 ITAs.

If a draw happens on 20th March with 3350 ITAs, the cut-off should be around 451 with a condition that the frequency of candidates remains constant.

Don't know whether it makes sense or not as I considered only one month trend.

I feel this logic is true only More PNP invites. Otherwise adding up 450+ profiles has never been this high. Assuming there’s no PNP (+600) score shoul go down to 448.
I am personally at 443 so I know my wait is much longer. I pray for a back to back draw soon with more ITAs.

 

[KirthiNisha]

Thanks ..But I'm losing hope coz my birthday is on 27th April..For first time in my life I'm afraid of my birthday

Dude, your situation is way better than mine. My score is 443 and I am loosing 5 points on March 19th. I am in a hopeless situation now. Only option left for me is to take IELTS again and score better CLB. Things doesn't look positive for me. Hope this make you feel better considering your in a better situation than mine.

 

[SithLord]

Dude, your situation is way better than mine. My score is 443 and I am loosing 5 points on March 19th. I am in a hopeless situation now. Only option left for me is to take IELTS again and score better CLB. Things doesn't look positive for me. Hope this make you feel better considering your in a better situation than mine.

DAMN

 

[ghvijay]

Dude, your situation is way better than mine. My score is 443 and I am loosing 5 points on March 19th. I am in a hopeless situation now. Only option left for me is to take IELTS again and score better CLB. Things doesn't look positive for me. Hope this make you feel better considering your in a better situation than mine.

Dear you can give Ielts again ..All the best. Go for it ! But I'm 36 already..You must be younger so don't worry..

 

[Shishir Chandra Kumar]

@Shishir Chandra Kumar, @abhishek_89- I am at 447, what are my chances in the next draw?

@Newbie_0922 - If next draw happens on 13th March, with ITAs >3350, then you definitely have chance.. Else if only 3350 ITAs issued, then less chances for score to drop to 447.....
If next draw happens on 20th March, you will have to wait for a couple of more draws, i would make a wild guess of getting after 2 draws.

In any case, i hope you have started collecting the docs required. All the best !!!!

 

[Shishir Chandra Kumar]

I feel this logic is true only More PNP invites. Otherwise adding up 450+ profiles has never been this high. Assuming there’s no PNP (+600) score shoul go down to 448.
I am personally at 443 so I know my wait is much longer. I pray for a back to back draw soon with more ITAs.

I'm at 441 and even i pray for back to back draws... Or atleast timely draws with more ITAs.

 

[Shishir Chandra Kumar]

WES were on a long holiday Sadly that ruined chances of many people Don't lose hope. 444 is still a good score

Its true that because of WES only i couldn't enter the 110th draw. Although my complete WES timeline was around 42 days, less than what many people have sadly faced, but still i was hopeful of getting ITA sooner. The 3 weeks gap in Feb was a major blow for me. Add to that, Less number of ITAs, and addition of many candidates with 450+ score.

 

[tjsecondtry]

I'm going to go on a little rant here. I think all the people blaming WES for ruining their chances need to take responsibility for their own actions. Why didn't you submit your credentials to them sooner? Why aren't you trying to increase your score? Maybe you should look at the chance to immigrate to Canada as an opportunity you need to earn rather than something that should be handed to you at your convenience.

Yes, I am jealous of all the young folks who can get in easily when I have been on a 2.5 year journey that hasn't finished yet. But I have continued to work for it, and I will continue until I achieve my goal.

 

[SeniorStakes]

hey all,
If youll notice lot of provinces issued PNP this year which gives those candidates to leape 600 points more. This is why there are more people in 451-600 bracket.
When PNP slows down score will eventually drop. OINP stopped after what happened. So other provinces surely will pause. Hope good things are about to come.

But does this really add 600 points immediately? I think when they do nominate, it is to let us apply to them.

 

[Shishir Chandra Kumar]

I'm going to go on a little rant here. I think all the people blaming WES for ruining their chances need to take responsibility for their own actions. Why didn't you submit your credentials to them sooner? Why aren't you trying to increase your score? Maybe you should look at the chance to immigrate to Canada as an opportunity you need to earn rather than something that should be handed to you at your convenience.

Yes, I am jealous of all the young folks who can get in easily when I have been on a 2.5 year journey that hasn't finished yet. But I have continued to work for it, and I will continue until I achieve my goal.

Its quite easy to say "why didn't you do it sooner?", cause you don't know the story. Do you really think that people delay because they want to, and they are very careless and looking for hope at the same time ?
You should choose your words more carefully !!!
This is Ray of Hope forum, not show the mirror forum. What is done cannot be changed .... But you can give a person hope to look fwd rather than look back and repent !!!