Ray of Hope - 97th Draw

[YPS]

My spouse got L 8.5, R 9, S 8, W 7.5 so maxed out. Still CRS is now 437, so waiting game begins for us

Congrats, Good score ..... Hope Birthday not around

Wify missed CLB10 by 1 band today ..... @ 431, another 4 months before I loose 5 points for Birthday....

 

[samikdg]

Ah, even with 2 degrees and a masters - Age is really pulling you down eh? I really hope they discover a workaround.

Yeah, Canada really does not like "old" people May sound like sour grapes, but really feel they should have weightage on higher experience. I don't mind being penalized for being closer to 40 than 30, but not fair when 3 years and 10+ years of experience are given same points
Told my 5 year old daughter that we are not having enough points to go to Canada, she offered to bring some points for the family, if only

 

[samikdg]

Congrats, Good score ..... Hope Birthday not around

Wify missed CLB10 by 1 band today ..... @ 431, another 4 months before I loose 5 points for Birthday....

Thanks, no, my not-so-happy birthday just passed in June and wife's is in December, so have window till then.
You try for other PNPs and hang in tight, buddy

 

[ersandee]

Currently 439 [364 to 386 to 402 to 439. Room to increase 3 points in writing, but have no desire to sit IELTS 5th time given I was able to get W-7 on my 4th attempt only and my writing is OK only].
Was hoping to get ITA before I loose points due to age, but that does not seem plausible given the CRS trend now.

you are so close, go give a shot at IELTS, 3 points can help you get what you are looking for.

 

[ain88]

Guys will i get invitation next draw?(i think so and hope so!)

Now i'm at 440, profile created in Apr 8th

I would say 90% of chance? can't wait next draw

 

[abhishek_89]

@abhishek_89 what's your prediction for the next round?

If the next draw is on Aug 22nd with 3750 ITAs, CRS 440 is the most probable cut off.

In the best case scenario, cut off would be CRS 439.

In the worst case scenario, cut off would be CRS 443.

 

[abhishek_89]

Don't you think it might go lower in Sept to the 438 range ? There should be a 3 week gap in September (third quarter of the year) immediately after which the draw size increases to 4000 as per the trend so far.

Considering CIC strictly follows 2 week gap draws and 3750 ITAs for the remaining of the year, below 440 cut off is inevitable.
The most probable date for a CRS 438 cut off is Oct 17th.
In the best case scenario, CRS 438 can happen on Sept 19th.

The above prediction would be impacted positively if 1 week gap draws occur and would be impacted negatively if 3 week gap draws occur.

 

[khalidr]

Considering CIC strictly follows 2 week gap draws and 3750 ITAs for the remaining of the year, below 440 cut off is inevitable.
The most probable date for a CRS 438 cut off is Oct 17th.
In the best case scenario, CRS 438 can happen on Sept 19th.

The above prediction would be impacted positively if 1 week gap draws occur and would be impacted negatively if 3 week gap draws occur.

Hey buddy , I guess you are considering 2 IELTS results when you are saying CRS will be 440/439 ?

 

[dodogirl]

Injecting some hope - just got my 2nd IELTS results.
I was sure I had to sit a 3rd time because I really thought I messed up on Listening and Writing. HOWEVER, I got L 8.5, R 9, S 8.5, W 7.5 so I'll be able to bump my score up to 441 now!

Congratulations! That must be a real relief!

 

[dodogirl]

My spouse got L 8.5, R 9, S 8, W 7.5 so maxed out. Still CRS is now 437, so waiting game begins for us

Congrats! What was your score before that?

 

[abhishek_89]

Hey buddy , I guess you are considering 2 IELTS results when you are saying CRS will be 440/439 ?

Yes, I am considering 2 IELTS results being out before Aug 22nd in my calculations, that's why there won't be a decrease in cut off in the next draw and most probably cut off would stay at 440. There is also a good possibility that the cut off could slightly go up.

439 in the Aug 22nd draw is close to impossible with 3750 ITAs.

 

[dodogirl]

Hello Peeps!!!!! I got my ielts results today!!! I am on top of the world!!!!!! I got the grades I wanted!!!! Special thanks @lightning_crashes, @syntaxrage, @zagcollins and everybody else for encouraging and advising to re-take ielts!!!!! From 439 I will move over 460s now. ITA next round.

 

[abhishek_89]

Hello Peeps!!!!! I got my ielts results today!!! I am on top of the world!!!!!! I got the grades I wanted!!!! Special thanks @lightning_crashes, @syntaxrage, @zagcollins and everybody else for encouraging and advising to re-take ielts!!!!! From 439 I will more over 460s now. ITA next round.

Congrats on the IELTS result!

This is the exact reason why the next draw cut off won't go below 440

 

[abhishek_89]

Hey buddy , I guess you are considering 2 IELTS results when you are saying CRS will be 440/439 ?

440/441 is more likely combination for the next draw and not 440/439.

 

[dodogirl]

Congrats on the IELTS result!

This is the exact reason why the next draw cut off won't go below 440

Thanks! That was my second ielts. Had to do it because i missed 0.5 in one module, but after all the stress and sleepless nights, I am overwhelmed with happiness and hope with my results.
To others, please if you can re-take ielts. I know how stressful it is to prepare for the exams, and i wish you all lots of courage + determination.