Ray of Hope - 91st Draw

[Mayur_M]

Or people lost hope....this year....

Only few folks with scores more than 440 here now, also 430-440 have a different thread. So its split across.

 

[akk82]

Only few folks with scores more than 440 here now, also 430-440 have a different thread. So its split across.

bcoz this thread is ray of hope but guys aren't letting any hope remain alive.
All pessimists

 

[Mayur_M]

I guess next draw will back to 441 or above.

For that to happen, influx of 441+ guys has to be of 250 per day. That's not happening.

 

[Tech_girl123]

Hoping for July to be the lucky month !

By July the pool will be full of 440+ ppl again right !

 

[Reddiered07]

I guess next draw will back to 441 or above.

why sir? can you please enlighten us with your logic plz!!

 

[radzee01]

Hello!
Is there any watsapp group for June draw applicants?
It would be great to communicate that way!
Let me know

 

[samikdg]

bcoz this thread is ray of hope but guys aren't letting any hope remain alive.
All pessimists

Seriously!! Suddenly people jumping on the ROH thread and proclaiming next cut-off will be 441 or cut-off will start increasing now, without a single line of logic or analysis! They should better stay away from ROH threads. Look at the analysis of senior members like Maverick, Abhishek etc before these kind of doomsday predictions!
~ Sitting at 433 and pissed at this Ray of Gloom :-X

 

[NOMAD2017]

https://www.poll-maker.com/results1965352xd4B94ca4-53#tab-2
I don't think the score will be 441. It will be 440 (looking at the poll result) with another tie-break in April or May 2018. Soooooo many people waiting on 440, so 439 might not happen this time. But once people with 440 are gone, I am sure it will move quickly to 438, as 439 doesn't seem to be as hot a score as 441, 440, 438 and 435. Slowly but gradually, the cut-off score is moving towards 430s. So don't lose hope guys. We are finally seeing the light at the end of the tunnel

 

[NOMAD2017]

If the rate of new applicants entering the pool with 441+ remains the same, the cut-off can even drop to 439 with a tie-break in 2017. Fingers crossed. I want my ITA back in June
Medical, Employment letters, POFs, PCC, everyyyything is just more than ready to be uploaded...

 

[Gury Singh]

Hoping next draw with 438.
Since 440 almost flushed out, 439 is NOT much....
finger crossed

 

[tristonz]

https://www.poll-maker.com/results1965352xd4B94ca4-53#tab-2
I don't think the score will be 441. It will be 440 (looking at the poll result) with another tie-break in April or May 2018. Soooooo many people waiting on 440, so 439 might not happen this time. But once people with 440 are gone, I am sure it will move quickly to 438, as 439 doesn't seem to be as hot a score as 441, 440, 438 and 435. Slowly but gradually, the cut-off score is moving towards 430s. So don't lose hope guys. We are finally seeing the light at the end of the tunnel

I love your spirit bro!!

 

[akk82]

now the thread title is getting some reasonable justification

 

[special3220]

After 3000 ITAs in Feb-March and then 3500 ITAs in April-May, I am expecting ITAs to increase to 4000 or 3750 in the next draw. In that case 440 will most likely get cleared and 439 cut off with a Tie Break in March-April may happen. Keep the hope up guys. Tomorrow is Wednesday and you never know, a back to back may happen and we might see a draw of 438!!!

 

[lightning_crashes]

After 3000 ITAs in Feb-March and then 3500 ITAs in April-May, I am expecting ITAs to increase to 4000 or 3750 in the next draw. In that case 440 will most likely get cleared and 439 cut off with a Tie Break in March-April may happen. Keep the hope up guys. Tomorrow is Wednesday and you never know, a back to back may happen and we might see a draw of 438!!!

Right on

Furthermore the number of ppl 441+ have been steadily decreasing since the draw of first week of March! Consistently!

Sum12 posted the numbers in Page 18 on this thread:

Hi,
I would like to share a data summary:

Pool Date Pool Total Variation Draw DateDraw CRS ITAs Quota Draw/Pool gap (days)Candidates with CRS 441+ (as if by pool)Variation
May 16 84,045 0.5% May 23 440 3500 7 1965 -15.0%
May 4 83,646 1.2% May 09 441 3500 5 2313-8.3%
April 19 82,659 1.0% April 25 441 3500 6 2521 -14.1%
April 4 81,812 1.6% April 11 444 3500 7 2935 -6.4%
March 20 80,488 0.5% March 26 446 3000 63135 -20.8%
March 8 80,091 4.6% March 14 456 3000 6 3959 79.1%
Feb 15 76,579 1.8% Feb 21 442 3000 6 2210 8.8%
Feb 1 75,227 2.6% Feb 7 442 3000 6 2031-16.0%

So unless there is a huge spike or abnormal thing like the three week draw that happened in March the score will come down!

 

[Gury Singh]

If draw size goes 4000, surely we will see 438