Let me attempt a forecast - I expect the number of candidates in the pool above 600 = 200. (451 - 600) =800. (444 - 450) = 1200. Total above 444 (the last cutoff) = 2200. Based on the previous draws size of 2750, we are left with 550. If we estimate 320 on 443, that leaves us with 2520 candidates above 443. The remaining will be applied to 442. Hence, my forecast is for a cutoff of 442 if the draw takes place tomorrow and the draw size remains at 2750
Ray of Hope - 83rd Draw
- Thread starter iamxty
- Start date
You are assuming that the numbers above 450 haven't increased. If they have, then your cut off will increase. I feel that, with IELTS results for 6th Jan out recently, there will be many more 450+ candidates in the pool.
It is really possible. You might be right but I don't think it will be too far from my prediction. The last batch of candidates (451-600) were cleared on the 24th of January. At worst, the figure I have provided may be off by 80 to 100 bringing the total for (451- 600) to 900 max. The biggest downside to my forecast is the accumulation around 440, 441, 442 and 443. These have not been touched since November 2017.
yup, that will be an interesting one, considering the general assumption is that they held back the January 6th results of a lot of high-scoring test takers.
441 is a great score. It's still possible that the cutoff tomorrow may fall to 441. The great unknown is the numbers accumulated around the early 440s. One thing is for sure, once 443 and 442 are cleared, the next port of call will be 441 and 440. I predict 442 +/- 1 for tomorrow and 440 +/- 1 for the 21st of Feb.after reading the posts - At 441, feel vulnerable..
You also need to factor in the rate at which high CRS scorers enter the pool. And then there are cases where people get a huge jump in CRS points simply because they are completing Canadian education degrees or increasing their Canadian work experience.
February 6, 2018
Entrepreneur Stream – Invitations to Apply Issued
Please be advised that the OINP has issued 13 Invitations to Apply under the Entrepreneur Stream. The minimum score was 137.
Entrepreneur Stream – Invitations to Apply Issued
Please be advised that the OINP has issued 13 Invitations to Apply under the Entrepreneur Stream. The minimum score was 137.
case study(hypothetical) : Mr x is in a pool with crs 434, Mr y is in the pool with crs 437, Mr z is in the pool with crs 442, Mr B is in the pool with 425 ..oinp sends noi to all 4 of them. Mr z neither accepts or rejects the noi... He has hopes for the crs to come down to his level in a few federal draws.... Mr y is in the dilemma what to do so he decides to wait out the 45 days validity period of noi and then decide... Mr x and Mr B immediately grabs the noi and make their application after paying 1500cad...now oinp takes more than 3 months for processing.. In the mean time the crs in federal draw drops to 434 and Mr x gets a direct Ita... Now Mr x is again in the dilemma what to do.. So he thinks to hell with pnp il go with direct ita since till then his pnp file is moving with a snails pace (since getting a noi, making an application and paying 1500cad do not always gaurantee pnp nominations) and he starts with his direct ita application which seems more easier and less time consuming then pnp... So now oinp has got 1500cad and one more used noi to reuse.... As for Mr b, before crs touches to 425 he gets his pnp nominations which he accepts and proceeds further in a normal course... So if we assume that there r 50 numbers of Mr x in the pool with his kind of situation then oinp will have 1500*50 cad in their kitty plus 50 nois to resuse.... Smart very smart what say...
Me too. Like this sinking feeling setting in. Well as long as there is life, we have hope. Let’s hope tomorrow brings some good newsafter reading the posts - At 441, feel vulnerable..
Abhishek_89 will do his predictions tomorrow, buh at Jakilee... any thoughts to give some hope?
If they ask $20000 fee and send out NOIs to everyone in the pool, their quota will be filled in a single day.