Ray of Hope - 83rd Draw

[Kakkarot]

@Contactnisha did you get your noi after recreating your profile

 

[dm0h0h0h]

Any predictions for tomorrow's draw ? Another 2 points drop ? Any chance number of ITA will be more than 2750 ?

 

[Sunilcas]

Just my 2 cents, probably in the range of 435 since OINP issued NOIs for those who had crs from 444-433

 

[iTobby23]

Did not recreate my profile.

Sister, what was your CRS score?

 

[iamxty]

Hello,

Can you clarify a bit more about the certificate? Since the OINP HCP application guide instructs to submit the online screenshot.

Am I missing something? Should I expect something by mail or this was under old system?

Also can you kindly clarify whats ADR. I'm encountering the term and the documentation is not clear. If I take the PNP route I need to allot some time for this procedure.

Thanks.

Nomination certificate and NOI are two different things.

NOI - you need the screenshot when you submit your application to OINP

Certificate of Nomination - you will receive this when you accept the nomination (this gives you additional 600 points). You upload a copy when you submit e-APR.

ADR - additional document request

 

[Kiki_tonia]

Sister, what was your CRS score?

Hi,
CRS 437

 

[quazifarhan]

Nomination certificate and NOI are two different things.

NOI - you need the screenshot when you submit your application to OINP

Certificate of Nomination - you will receive this when you accept the nomination (this gives you additional 600 points). You upload a copy when you submit e-APR.

ADR - additional document request

That's a relief, I was confused by this page (Alternative Dispute Resolution) : http://www.irb-cisr.gc.ca/Eng/ImmApp/Pages/IadSaiAdrMarGuideApp.aspx

And thanks again.

 

[Hassan.Fahm]

Question: Suppose I apply for PCC today I get it this month end for me and my husband for malaysia. And suppose if my husband travels again in March end to malaysia he has some work. So will cic question the date again of entry to malaysia. As PCC will be done only till the last month.

Normally PCC is valid for a certain period of time as well. so in my Opinion if it is valid it should work. Seniors should advise

Thanks

 

[Contactnisha]

@Contactnisha did you get your noi after recreating your profile

No luck

 

[santhkum90]

Normally PCC is valid for a certain period of time as well. so in my Opinion if it is valid it should work. Seniors should advise

Thanks

No it is incorrect. PCC should be obtained after the last day of stay in that country, if it is not your country of residence. Please note this fact or your application will be rejected.

 

[zagcollins]

No it is incorrect. PCC should be obtained after the last day of stay in that country, if it is not your country of residence. Please note this fact or your application will be rejected.

Highly possible IRCC will request PCC for the time spent in Malaysia next month. I suggest you get it later. Their website clearly states that 'For countries in which the applicant no longer resides, the police certificate must have been issued after the last time the applicant lived in that country'.
Also that 'it is always at an officer’s discretion to request a new or additional police certificate'.

STOP requesting information that's so easily available on their website. Getting spoon-fed isn't recommended.

 

[h1b2pr]

I don't know about rest of the countries and I believe it's same for all.
Online results won't have TRF number, it can only be availed from your hard copy.

IDP results show the TRF number. I got it. Perhaps British Council doesn't show it.

 

[Varunaimar]

Just my 2 cents, probably in the range of 435 since OINP issued NOIs for those who had crs from 444-433

I probably think it will be in the 445-447 range but I'm really hoping I'm proved wrong!

 

[zagcollins]

I probably think it will be in the 445-447 range but I'm really hoping I'm proved wrong!

that would mean an increase, and not a good sign really.

 

[vensak]

Hello @vensak


So, does that mean there is a very big chance for us to see the cutoff not to go go below 430 this year?

According to the data, what is your call about the date when the cutoff to get down to below 435? some people are saying it would happen on coming March so do you think it has any chance?

People are getting really anxious about the current situation & anyone below 440 is scared to sense their Canadian dream might not see the reality ever.

Hello @vensak


So, does that mean there is a very big chance for us to see the cutoff not to go go below 430 this year?

According to the data, what is your call about the date when the cutoff to get down to below 435? some people are saying it would happen on coming March so do you think it has any chance?

People are getting really anxious about the current situation & anyone below 440 is scared to sense their Canadian dream might not see the reality ever.

What is clear from those data is, that the competition is increasing (at the moment the % increase of new profiles is higher than the % increase of their yearly quota).
What is not visible from this data is the the waste rate (how many ITA will not make it to the approved application).
Assumption is, that with higher notoriety of EE, the rejection rate of application shall decrease (at least a bit) until reaching more stable values (there will still be cases where incorrect documents will be provided).
It can also be, that higher CRS will prompt people not to waste their ITA (keep declining it because of the missing documents), so slight decrease of that is also to be expected.
On the good side amount of rejections or declined ITA shall not have any big impact on CRS score in the long term (people will be served faster with less artificial inflation of CRS).
But at the same time it means, that there will be no need for any dramatic increase of ITA (2750 of what they need now, and it can become close to 3000 next year on a biweekly basis).
But with all that said, it is highly improbable that the CRS will reach the lows from the last years (of course unless there is a change in points calculation).
The border of certainty is above 450 and anything below 440 is in the area of uncertainty which is sharply increasing as you go down. Anything below 420 is too low to be called for ITA.

Which means if you are in the border of uncertainty or below, increase your score.

Good luck