I asked a Silicon Valley friend, an ex-colleague at Twitter, a while ago "How much do you need to retire?" His answer was 5 million USD. I asked him where's the number's from? He said "Let's assume there's a 2% annual return..."
I worked in Silicon Valley myself and I know the trap that most people fall into. No matter what's your income, there's something to spend your money on, be it a bigger house, a better school for your children, a faster car, etc. You are wired into believing you need all that shit because that's what others around you want.
Here's what I would do.
- Live as cheaply as I can and save as much as possible.
- Once I have enough capital, move to a cheaper place.
- Make sure my income is greater than my expenses without having to work much at all.
- Meanwhile let my capital grow by investing in world stock indices. I won't touch my investment and withdraw any money from it, until I really need it. (I'll explain what I mean by "really need it".)
Regarding 1, I lived in Walnut Creek and paid 1,750 USD a month for a 1-bedroom instead of 2,400 USD for a studio in SF. I bought a 2,000-USD 2001 Chrysler instead of a 20,000-USD whatever. I used different cash-back cards for different categories. I opened bank accounts to get a few hundred dollars for free and then closed them. I made it very clear to everyone around me that I was cheap so no one would bother to ask me to party around and waste money.
Regarding 2, I now live in Canada where health care is "free" and you don't need to send you children to some expensive private school. In Toronto, I am living on less than 1,000 CAD per month for all my expenses, including housing, food, and whatever you can think of. I may move to Quebec because they have wonderful child-care subsidies, which may make sense when I have children.
Regarding 3, I plan to either buy or rent a house (depending on the rental yield obviously) and let my partner run airbnb, which should cover all our living expenses. Given how cheap I am, it is not an ambitious goal.
Regarding 4, I told my boss in January that I was leaving Twitter, when I reached 500,000 USD liquid assets. (Ironically I got promoted after that.) I knew by doing nothing but investing passively in a well-diversified world stock portfolio, in the long run its value will double every ten years. Plus the inheritance that I will eventually get from my parents, I'll become a multi-millionaire sooner or later.
Here's what I meant by "really need it". I plan to live for ever. I believe or at least hope the technology of immortality, or more likely before it, rejuvenation, will become available before I die. But it will be expensive in the beginning. So I will need the money. (If I die before it happens, I'll have my brain frozen and that will also cost a lot of money.)
What I honestly think is that there are too many people who are smart enough to make good salary, yet not smart enough to figure out what they should or can do with the salary.
(Regarding crazy real estate prices: no one is forcing you to buy a house in the Bay Area, or in Toronto or Vancouver. Use your brain to figure out what's the best way to spend your money. Actually, there are no good ways to spend your money, only good ways to invest your money. I don't consider speculation on property price appreciation investment. Get
this book and learn about discounted cash flows and valuation. Such concepts are actually also useful for personal financial planning.)