Ray of Hope 68th Draw

[Barkha]

You don't need to explain. When choosing a primary occupation, you must take note of the minimum requirement for work experience for FSW.

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http://www.ci.gc.ca/english/resources/tools/perm/econ/fsw/minimum.asp

Minimum work experience requirement

The applicant must have accumulated at least one year of continuous full-time (or the equivalent in part-time) paid work experience in the occupation identified in their application for permanent residence as their primary occupation. In calculating this period of work experience, the occupation must be listed in skill type 0 (Managerial occupations), skill level A (Professional occupations) or skill level B (Technical occupations and skilled trades) of the National Occupational Classification (NOC) 2011 [R75(2)(a)].
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Thank You

 

[ankitptrivedi]

sad for me as i am @ 436...

Really sad

 

[Manish Parashar]

Hi Friends,
Any hope for the 415 - 420 zone being touched in the near future.
I'm at 416. What are the odds......Seniors pls comment.

 

[Globetrotter2017]

Hi Friends,
Any hope for the 415 - 420 zone being touched in the near future.
I'm at 416. What are the odds......Seniors pls comment.

Hi,

Please refer to this

So after some data mining and applying the principles of Probability and Stochastic processes,

This is my analysis.


601-1200 -> 199 => Average of 30 profiles per week (Rounded up)
451-600 -> 764 => Average of 110 profiles per week (Rounded up)
441-450 -> 1008 => (1008 as on July 6 - 809 as on June 28) means a Average of 200 profiles per week (Rounded up)
431-440 -> 1576 => (1576 as on July 6 - 1082 as on June 28) means a Average of 494 profiles per week (Rounded up)

Keep in mind 440 and above are flushed out.

So as on July 19th (if the trend continues) taking the averages and multiplying by 7 we get

601-1200 199
451-600 764
441-450 200
431-440 2070

Which means atleast 3233 people will have their CRS above 431

If ITA issued are following the current trends of 3200 then, the Cut off can be 433+/-1
If they issue 3300 ITAs then, Cut off could be 430 +/- 1

PS: This is under the assumption that the current trend of nominations is followed and we do not see a spike in the PNPs

If, we do not have a draw on July 19 and it gets pushed to July 26 we get the following distribution

601-1200 400
451-600 1400
441-450 500
431-440 2550

Which means atleast 4850 people will have their CRS above 431

If ITA issued are following the current trends of 3200 then, the Cut off can be 437+/-1
If they issue 3500 ITAs then, Cut off could be 436 +/- 1

PS: This is under the assumption that the current trend of nominations is followed and we do not see a spike in the PNPs


Further, please note, I myself want the cut off to fall as I have not received my ITA. And I hope the cut off continues to fall.
For now, what we all can do is pray that we have back to back draws because that is very much needed.

PS: Please do not bash me for this analysis. I am optimistic but need to be a realist too right?
Finally, someone please invite me to the Yukon party, I hope to get an ITA soon.

Please extrapolate and draw consensus. I have provided the working mechanism on current trends. All the best!

 

[sacmanitin]

Thanks mate! I know how you got 3029 but I rounded it up to 3200 for 437.

mentally stimulating to find the resonance on the analysis part and the forum energy for getting a cut -off so many of us see the light soon ..

 

[Manish Parashar]

Thanks Globetrotter2017 for sharing the encouraging analysis. Back 2 back draws needed to fuel up hopes. Hope to see the Magic.
remembering the song "It's a kind of Magic" by Queen.

 

[Contactnisha]

Hi,

Please refer to this






Please extrapolate and draw consensus. I have provided the working mechanism on current trends. All the best!

Hope a draw happens on 19th. Am on 434
God plz do some wonders!!!

 

[Aryaesh]

Hope a draw happens on 19th. Am on 434
God plz do some wonders!!!

yes, i hope so too. Really really with for the draw to happen on 19th (@ 433)

 

[CaRahul]

Hi Guys,

I am currently at 416 points after creating my profile in EE . Can you guide me regarding the following situation.

I have multiple work experience across different NOCs. 2years 1 month in 0124, then 5 months again in 0124(different employee) and 9 months as Paid Intern(full time/ 45 hours per week) in 4163. I am currently claiming points for 2 years work exp only hence the score 416. Can i add up all these work experience and claim full points of 3 yr experience? 3 yr exp will boost my CRS to 441. I will choose my primary NOC as 0124

I would really appreciate some expert opinion on this.

Any help on this one guys? I really need to know your opinion on this.

 

[KingKurly]

OINP nomination still got a lot of room (about 2400) but mine has been fully booked a long time ago hahaha!
Now I remember you were the one talking about POF in this forum, you and @xibalban. So where is your friend now, gone hibernating? Good luck to both of you!

Oh no, you remember about the POF It is monsoon season here so he must be planting his crops

 

[KingKurly]

I really hope that's one for ray of hope 68....
@KingKurly when I started the journey I was alone and now I'm not....and how can I walk away......I'd want all of you to have your ITAs just as much anyone of u want...

Like i keep saying. You are a team player

 

[Contactnisha]

Ray of hope has robbed most of my time !!!
Fingers crossed for the next draw!!!!

 

[pessacanada]

Any help on this one guys? I really need to know your opinion on this.

Hie there, as long as your works are in the category 0, A or B, you can combine all your work and should get a reference letters for each according to the requirement of CIC. Hope your CRS would rise higher so that you will be invited next round, all the best to you!
May everyone here get an ITA soon and we celebrate our parties in Canada in 2018.

PS: It's my birthday today (32) but not sad, in my application I already changed the principal applicant (CRS 416) Hope I invite you guys to my birthday next year in Canada

 

[iamxty]

Hie there, as long as your works are in the category 0, A or B, you can combine all your work and should get a reference letters for each according to the requirement of CIC. Hope your CRS would rise higher so that you will be invited next round, all the best to you!
May everyone here get an ITA soon and we celebrate our parties in Canada in 2018.

PS: It's my birthday today (32) but not sad, in my application I already changed the principal applicant (CRS 416) Hope I invite you guys to my birthday next year in Canada

Happy birthday! I am the first one to greet you in this thread so I am already invited next year! Your CRS is still higher than most of the active members here! I hope we all get our ITAs soon so we can celebrate our birthdays in Canada next year!

 

[KingKurly]

Unfortunately, most people when they're drinking don't like the company of sober people

I second that. I used to be a heavy drinker and to some extent life of a party. Then all of the sudden i stopped drinking and it stayed like that for nearly 3 years until last Christmas eve. My friends were not impressed at all. I used to go to clubs and drink non-alcoholic beer and they were like, omg unbelievable! They tried everything they could to make me drink again lol.