Hi Abhishek,
My score is at 418 - and I received a OIPNP Letter of interest.Do you think the score will go down further in few weeks time for me to get an ITA?
Or should i submit my PNP application?
Regards
Please see my analysis below.
If there are consecutive draws on July 5 and July 12, with 3400 ITAs being issued in each draw, you have a slight chance of getting an ITA on July 12 or you might just miss the cut off.
If there are consecutive draws on July 5, July 12 and July 19, with 3400 ITAs being issued in each draw, you can be assured of an ITA on July 19.
If there are atleast 3 draws in July (not consecutive, with the last draw happening on July 26 or July 28), with 3400 ITAs being issued in each draw, you still have a slight chance of getting an ITA by end of July or you might just miss the cut off and would have to wait till August.
If there are only 2 draws in July (no consecutive draws), with 3400 ITAs being issued in each draw, you have a very low chance of getting an ITA with CRS 418 in July. You would need to wait till August in this case.
You can take a decision based on your risk appetite and choose to wait for a direct ITA or go ahead with the OINP PNP process.