Ray of Hope 62nd Draw
- Thread starter arunroy007
- Start date
By the look of posts I am seeing about fellow applicants how have gained 50-60 extra points on getting CLB 9 this time in IELTS, 2 weeks gap and last cut off already at 423, I don't think the cut off will decrease. It could increase. And if it is decreased, it will not go much far..perhaps till 420-421.
I could be wrong though.
the lower the better, but 411 looks realistic to me. The raise in the last cutoff was in my opinion, definitely because of graduates joining in. Which hopefully, won't be the case anymore in the coming draws.
andieangel
Champion Member
I think it should be lower than 407, but it will not happen in this draw, in the next definitely! Although I want it to be now, I do not think they will decrease by more than 10 points in 1 round, so 413 for now is the lowest we can expect and if that happens it's awsome!
It isn't up to CIC that how many points drop a draw experience, it is based on the number of candidates they decide to pick out of the pool. We have seen 10 points drop and even more in the earlier draws this year. For example, on March 24th, the cutoff was 441 followed by 431 on April 5th (10 points) further followed by 423 on April 12th (8 points) and then 415 on April 19th (8 points drop again).
March 24th, we experienced a rise in cutoff from 434 to 441. Seeing this trend, it is very, very likely that we can see the same 10 points drop again or even more.
andieangel
Champion Member
As I was saying, 10 points is the largest difference there was, I do not think more than that will happen, and it is up to CIC, if they see that they need to decrease more than 10 points due to not enough profiles at the moment they will not have a draw, per my opinion! Don't get me wrong, I would like it to be today with 400 crs cut off but at this point it's not realistic! It will happen soon, but not this week...
U r actually correct..It's not the matter of fact that what point they want it is just that the number of people they want to call
You are correct, but the last rise was because of grads joining in the pool and approximate 1.2K of them out of the 3796 total selected candidates. If we exclude them from the equation and adjust this number in the lower segment of 411-420, the cutoff would have been 411 or 410. Surprisingly, the total count of lower segments is almost unchanged as compare to the numbers we had in the draw before this one (Correct me if I am wrong people, that's how I remember).
Now that those people have been sorted, and let's say we have around 500 - 1K new candidates above 411 and if the CIC decides to select 3K candidates (no more, no less) out of the pool, the cut-off can easily fall to 411. And we all know that the recent draws and the future draws will always circle around 3.5k.
Let's see.. we all are in the same boat.
andieangel
Champion Member
Hey, I am on board! Rooting for 411! And in the draw after this one 403!
Let the games begin!
May the odds be ever in our favor!Hey, I am on board! Rooting for 411! And in the draw after this one 403!
I doubt that. Obviously, the cut-off point is not determined by CIC, but the number of ITAs does. Moreover, I believe the draw depends on the CIC officers' availability whether they can afford to process the amount of candidates. I think they may already have an idea of how much they can process biweekly. If they have already completed their given tasks/quota, then probably there will be a draw, otherwise, we may have to wait for few more days or a week.