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July draw predictions

klubsoda

Star Member
Jul 6, 2022
100
143
Category........
CEC
NOC Code......
5121
Wait and see. As far as we know it's still on, as they're usually every two weeks. I haven't seen anything about program-specific draws. I would assume they're all-program draws moving forward unless they sprinkle in FST or PNP separately every so often. The days of CEC only are probably gone in my opinion.
 

powerssdd

Hero Member
Aug 4, 2019
207
51
No sign of increasing draw size though..
I don't see any sign either.
I say tomorrow's draw size is still below 2000.

Here is another one, saying the backlog has raised to 2.7M.
https://www.cicnews.com/2022/07/canadas-immigration-backlog-grows-to-2-7-million-people-0729219.html/amp

I think IRCC was really reluctant to resume EE. They said "near term" in Feb, then "this Spring", but it is July actually which is already summer.

In IRCC's dictionary, "near term" is 5 months.

They didn't want to resume it but had to.

But, "hey, I said I would resume it, but I didn't say anything about the draw size, right? You cannot say I broke my promise."

Hence the 1500 draw.

The 10 months suspension of EE didn't really solve anything. I guess they wish they can stop everything including visa, sp and wp for years.
 
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Ultraxion

Hero Member
May 10, 2022
258
190
I don't see any sign either.
I say tomorrow's draw size is still below 2000.

Here is another one, saying the backlog has raised to 2.7M.
https://www.cicnews.com/2022/07/canadas-immigration-backlog-grows-to-2-7-million-people-0729219.html/amp

I think IRCC was really reluctant to resume EE. They said "near term" in Feb, then "this Spring", but it is July actually which is already summer.

In IRCC's dictionary, "near term" is 5 months.

They didn't want to resume it but had to.

But, "hey, I said I would resume it, but I didn't say anything about the draw size, right? You cannot say I broke my promise."

Hence the 1500 draw.

The 10 months suspension of EE didn't really solve anything. I guess they wish they can stop everything including visa, sp and wp for years.
Although the backlog is still increasing, the number of cases for EE (especially FSW/CEC) has been consistenly decreasing, and decreasing fast.

Obviously there is no way to tell if they are going to increase the draw size tomorrow or in the upcoming draws, but speaking selfishly, I hope your prediction is wrong again lol.
 

aommnd

Star Member
Apr 6, 2022
117
25
The 10 months suspension of EE didn't really solve anything. I guess they wish they can stop everything including visa, sp and wp for years.
The EE remaining applications went down quite significantly actually. It seems to be mainly the TRVs that are still heavily piled up. That being said, the draw today will be interesting.
 

scylla

VIP Member
Jun 8, 2010
95,938
22,177
Toronto
Category........
Visa Office......
Buffalo
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
App. Filed.......
28-05-2010
AOR Received.
19-08-2010
File Transfer...
28-06-2010
Passport Req..
01-10-2010
VISA ISSUED...
05-10-2010
LANDED..........
05-10-2010
Is there a draw happening today? The result should have been released by now
They don't always happen in the morning. It's not even noon here yet. Might happen in the afternoon.
 
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Takita

Hero Member
May 12, 2021
456
111
The EE remaining applications went down quite significantly actually. It seems to be mainly the TRVs that are still heavily piled up. That being said, the draw today will be interesting.
Work permit extension applications for inland applicants taking ~6months that explains the backlog. Moreover, there's no "premium processing" for additional fee unlike US work permits.
 

aommnd

Star Member
Apr 6, 2022
117
25
They don't always happen in the morning. It's not even noon here yet. Might happen in the afternoon.
Yeah looks like it is delayed today (well hopefully delayed and not cancelled). Usually it is before 4PM UTC, already 6PM UTC.
 

lilyt

Full Member
Feb 18, 2022
40
23
fucking unbeliavable
you know what guys, they might be saving those 75k places for their targeted draws in 2023
so it could be no/few/very small draws till the end of the year for the rest of us
doing 1 draw per month, which basically clears out PNPs anyway (and like 10 FSWs)