Here is mine, share your thoughts.
Total target for 2017 EE : 73,700
ITAs given in first 4 months Jan-April 2017 : 35,973
Which mean almost half of the required target is already issued. (of course how many will accept the ITAs and get PRs can be ignored for the moment)
Now, with 8 more months to go, no one from outside of the department knows how many they would invite every month.
Now let'ÂÂs look at the data.
On April 7th there were 10139 in the pool with above 400 CRS
On April 28th there were 8314 in the pool with above 400 CRS
From April 7th till April 28th there were 2 rounds of invitation which were above 400.
One on April 12th with 3,923 ITAs
Another in Apr 19th with 3665 ITAS
Totaling 7588
Which means From April 7th till April 28th 7,588 were out from pool because they were given ITAs.
Which means 10139-7588 = 2551 are remained in the pool since April 7th till April 28 as they were not given ITAs as they were less than 415 CRS (lowest invite).
Here, if you notice, there were 8314 in the pool on April 28th with above 400 CRS. Which implies that 8314-2551 = 5763 where added to pool with 400+ score between April 7th and April 28th. Which is 3 weeks. So, about 1921 were added per week.
That means about 1900 are being added to the pool with CRS 400+ per WEEK... so even if they have to invite every 2 weeks they will have a fresh 3800 people being added with 400+ score.
Now in 8 months if they have to invite at least twice a month that's 16 invitations, like about 2400 ITAs needed per invite to cover the remaining balance of about 37727. Which means the CRS invite score might remain above 420 assuming same flow of new candidates adding in.
Total target for 2017 EE : 73,700
ITAs given in first 4 months Jan-April 2017 : 35,973
Which mean almost half of the required target is already issued. (of course how many will accept the ITAs and get PRs can be ignored for the moment)
Now, with 8 more months to go, no one from outside of the department knows how many they would invite every month.
Now let'ÂÂs look at the data.
On April 7th there were 10139 in the pool with above 400 CRS
On April 28th there were 8314 in the pool with above 400 CRS
From April 7th till April 28th there were 2 rounds of invitation which were above 400.
One on April 12th with 3,923 ITAs
Another in Apr 19th with 3665 ITAS
Totaling 7588
Which means From April 7th till April 28th 7,588 were out from pool because they were given ITAs.
Which means 10139-7588 = 2551 are remained in the pool since April 7th till April 28 as they were not given ITAs as they were less than 415 CRS (lowest invite).
Here, if you notice, there were 8314 in the pool on April 28th with above 400 CRS. Which implies that 8314-2551 = 5763 where added to pool with 400+ score between April 7th and April 28th. Which is 3 weeks. So, about 1921 were added per week.
That means about 1900 are being added to the pool with CRS 400+ per WEEK... so even if they have to invite every 2 weeks they will have a fresh 3800 people being added with 400+ score.
Now in 8 months if they have to invite at least twice a month that's 16 invitations, like about 2400 ITAs needed per invite to cover the remaining balance of about 37727. Which means the CRS invite score might remain above 420 assuming same flow of new candidates adding in.
